Data | Where does India stand on the coronavirus curve?


While initially the number of COVID-19 cases were increasing at a slower pace in India compared to many other countries, things have taken a turn for the worse since Friday. With 100 new cases on Saturday, India’s climb has become steeper. Despite this rapid climb, the growth in cases is still lower than many Western countries at this stage. However, India’s testing rate continues to be comparatively poor.

Rapid progress

As of March 21, 166 nations recorded at least one COVID-19 case. Of them, 46, including India, crossed the 300 mark.

How many countries have crossed 300 cases?

image/svg+xmlNo. of countriesNumber of cases crossed as of March 21170130905016692706353461 case100 cases150 cases200 cases300 cases50 cases

 

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Progression comparison

The table lists the % of countries which took more days or fewer days than India to cross a certain number of cases. For instance, 57% of countries took more days than India to jump from 200 to >300 cases, while only 4% took fewer days. The more days a country takes to reach a mark, the better.

How many countries crossed 300 cases faster than India?

image/svg+xmlCaseprogress% tookmore days% tookless days% tooksame daysTotalnationsFrom 0 to50 cases11%88%0%9250 to 10013%73%13%70100 to 15010%78%11%63150 to 20015%74%9%53200 to 30057%4%37%46

 

Worrying rise

The graph depicts the no. of cases since the 100th case in each country. With 100 new cases on Saturday, India’s path (shown by the red line) is mimicking the exponential rise seen in the early days of some Western countries.

Where does India stand compared to other countries?

image/svg+xml2468101214161820222426283032Days since the 100th case1002005001,0002,0005,00010,00020,00050,000No. of cases50,00020,00010,0005,0002,0001,00050020010026101418222630No. of casesDays since the 100th caseItalyItalySpainGermanyIranFranceU.K.BelgiumQatarMalaysiaJapanS. KoreaSingaporeHong KongKuwaitIndiaIndia has climbedsteeper,steering awayfrom the likesof Singapore andHong KongAfter an initial surge,S. Korea managed toflatten the curve

 

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Still behind testing

Countries like Taiwan (only 143 cases) and South Korea (which has contained the spread) have some of the highest testing rates. The graph shows the tests per million people as of Feb. 4 , Mar. 9 and the latest date in select nations. India’s testing rate as of March 21 was behind South Korea’s & Taiwan’s February 4 figure.

Where does India stand on testing rates?

image/svg+xmlTaiwanIndiaU.S.U.K.S. Korea101005001,0005,000Testing ratein Indiacontinued tobe signifcantlylower comparedto that of othercountriesTests per million population (Log scale)6,38898671011.8150Latest date: India & S. Korea: Mar. 21; U.S. & U.K.; Mar. 20; Taiwan: Mar. 1511.6

Sources: Johns Hopkins University, health ministries of countries

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